Solar PPA: European price evolution and 2030 outlook
Spain €45/MWh, France €62/MWh, Germany €71/MWh: why gaps widen and where to sign in 2026 to optimise 15 years of TCO.
2020 → 2026 curve
| Year | Spain | France | Germany | UK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 38 | 54 | 62 | £58 |
| 2022 | 52 | 71 | 84 | £79 |
| 2024 | 48 | 65 | 78 | £72 |
| 2026 | 45 | 62 | 71 | £68 |
| 2028 (proj.) | 42 | 58 | 66 | £62 |
| 2030 (proj.) | 39 | 55 | 62 | £58 |
3 downward forces
- Solar LCOE in free fall: €28/MWh in Spain, -12%/yr since 2020
- Structural curtailment: producers sell at a loss without a PPA
- Battery + solar competition: firm power at €55/MWh in Spain by 2027
2 upward forces
- Hyperscaler demand: +14 GW/yr of PPA signatures
- Grid connection cost: +35% over 3 years (TSO saturation)
The 2026–2027 window
Prices are at the floor. A 15-year PPA at €45/MWh signed in Q3 2026 locks in the energy cost of a Spanish AI data center through 2041. Next cycle: prices expected at €52–58/MWh by 2030.
How Voltarione sets prices
The indicative price shown for each site is computed in real time from: local LCOE, current self-consumption rate, distance to injection point, target PPA duration. Daily refresh via ENTSO-E + EPEX SPOT APIs.
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